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UFC 279 Jingliang vs Ferguson Picks and Predictions: The Leetch Pressured into Loss

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Li Jingliang vs. Tony Ferguson is on the primary card for UFC 279 on September 10 from the T-Cell Enviornment in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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This needs to be a banger between a placing specialist in Jingliang and an aggressive high-pressure fighter in Ferguson who’s attempting to snap a four-fight shedding skid.

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Oddsmakers count on Ferguson’s shedding streak to proceed on Saturday with UFC odds putting in him as a +250 underdog and Li coming again as a -334 favourite.

Listed below are my greatest free Jingliang vs. Ferguson picks and predictions for UFC 279.

Jingliang vs Ferguson battle odds

Jingliang vs Ferguson technique of victory odds

Methodology of Victory Li Jingliang Tony Ferguson
To win by KO/TKO +160 +1,100
To win by Factors +165 +550
To win by Submission +3,400 +600
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on September 7, 2022.

Jingliang vs Ferguson picks

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Click on on every prediction to leap to the complete evaluation.

Jingliang vs Ferguson betting preview

“The Leetch” Li Jingliang is contemporary off a second-round knockout win towards Muslim Salkhov in July which allowed him to bounce again from a lopsided loss to Khamzat Chimaev final October.

Li is 5-2 in his final seven fights, incomes 4 Efficiency of the Evening bonuses and racking up 4 wins by knockout throughout that span.

With a background in Sanda, the 34-year-old is a high-end striker with explosive energy and strong approach. The Leetch averages 4.39 vital strikes per minute whereas absorbing 3.66.

Covers UFC 279 Betting Evaluation

Tony “El Cucuy” Ferguson is a light-weight legend who made the transfer as much as 170 kilos after an unsightly loss to Michael Chandler in Could the place he was knocked out chilly by a entrance kick.

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That was the fourth loss in a row for the 38-year-old who had beforehand been dominated by light-weight contenders Beneil Dariush and Charles Oliveira on the mat whereas getting pieced up by Justin Gaethje on his ft.

In his prime, Ferguson was one of the vital entertaining fighters round, combining unpredictable placing with unimaginable tempo and high-level submissions to string collectively a 12-fight successful streak between 2013 and 2019.

Jingliang vs Ferguson story of the tape

Li Jingliang Tony Ferguson
34 Age 38
6-feet Top 6-feet
170 lbs Weight 155 lbs
72 inches Attain 76.5 inches
19-7 (10 KOs) Report 25-7 (12 KOs)

Jingliang vs Ferguson UFC prediction and greatest wager

Our prediction is compiled from the evaluation of the fighters and is a sign of who we’re leaning with to win this bout.
Our greatest wager is the play that we like probably the most for this battle or the place probably the most worth lies, and is the place we might put a few of our bankroll behind.

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Whereas going up in weight class may be robust for a lot of fighters, Ferguson really began his MMA profession as a welterweight and is a protracted fighter with a 4.5-inch attain benefit on Li.

The massive drawback for Ferguson is his chin at this stage of his profession, after withstanding loads of punishment over a 32-fight profession.

Nonetheless, it’s value mentioning that Ferguson seemed very harmful within the first spherical towards Chandler, scything him with elbows earlier than he bought caught with that kick within the second spherical. He had by no means been knocked out till he confronted the hammer-fisted Gaethje two years in the past and that battle went till late within the fifth spherical.

Though Ferguson has gotten creamed in every of his final 4 fights these got here towards the most effective fighters at 155 and Li has had simply as a lot issue towards High-15 guys at welterweight, getting dominated by Khamzhat Chimaev and likewise shedding a one-sided resolution to Neil Magny.

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Li has loads of knockout energy however Ferguson is the higher grappler and throws with extra quantity which supplies him extra paths to victory as long as he avoids opening himself up an excessive amount of.

Prediction: Tony Ferguson moneyline (+255 at DraftKings)

It’s straightforward to see why the chances are towards Ferguson as a result of if his chin is really gone, then shifting up in weight class to face a knockout specialist looks as if a nightmare matchup.

Nonetheless, he has the instruments to win this battle, and each time The Leetch has confronted a step up in competitors throughout his profession he has come up brief.

As highly effective as Li’s placing may be, he has bother from distance or with regards to soiled boxing inside, preferring to work from medium vary. Don’t be shocked if Ferguson’s strain makes it tough for Li to seek out his vary and places him on the backfoot.

That places the betting worth on the nonetheless harmful El Cucuy.

ChooseTony Ferguson moneyline (+255 at DraftKings)

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