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UFC 279 Chimaev vs Diaz Picks and Predictions: Borz Continues Undefeated Streak

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Khamzat Chimaev vs. Nate Diaz is the principle occasion for UFC 279 on September 10 from the T-Cellular Area in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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That is some unusual matchmaking, with a legend properly previous his prime in Diaz taking up some of the harmful younger fighters on the planet in Chimaev. The UFC odds mirror that disparity with UFC betting strains opening with Chimaev as a large -1,000 favourite and Diaz coming again at +600.

With the chances so lopsided we discover you the very best betting angle for this struggle with our greatest free UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz picks and predictions.

Chimaev vs Diaz struggle odds

Chimaev vs Diaz technique of victory odds

Technique of Victory Khamzat Chimaev Nate Diaz
To win by KO/TKO -105 +1,600
To win by Factors +600 +2,000
To win by Submission +185 +1,700
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on September 6, 2022.

Chimaev vs Diaz picks

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Click on on every prediction to leap to the total evaluation.

Chimaev vs Diaz betting preview

Khamzat “Borz” Chimaev has surged as much as No. 3 within the welterweight rankings after defeating Gilbert Burns by unanimous resolution in some of the thrilling fights of the yr in April.

That back-and-forth battle in opposition to the previous No. 2 contender in Burns was the primary actual check of Chimaev’s profession after he completed his first 4 UFC opponents with ease by touchdown a complete of 112 vital strikes and absorbing only one.

Chimaev is an ideal 11-0 in his MMA profession, and has racked up 5 wins and 5 Efficiency of the Night time or Battle of Night time bonuses since becoming a member of the UFC. Additionally competing at middleweight, the 28-year-old has unimaginable power for this division and is an elite wrestler with heavy arms and brutal ground-and-pound.

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Covers UFC 279 Betting Evaluation

Diaz is an MMA legend who has been competing within the UFC since 2007 and holds the promotion report for post-fight award bonuses with 15.

Nevertheless, the 37-year-old is clearly properly previous his prime and has solely fought as soon as for the reason that begin of 2020, a lopsided resolution loss to Leon Edwards final summer season.

With a second-degree black belt in BJJ, Diaz is a wonderful grappler with 11 profession wins by submission. However he’s extra well-known for his sturdiness, cardio, and skill to wage an all-out battle together with his quantity hanging.

Chimaev vs Diaz story of the tape

Khamzat Chimaev Nate Diaz
28 Age 37
6-foot-2 Top 6-feet
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
75 inches Attain 76 inches
11-0 (6 KOs) Report 20-13 (5 KOs)

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Chimaev vs Diaz UFC prediction and finest guess

Our prediction is compiled from the evaluation of the fighters and is a sign of who we’re leaning with to win this bout.
Our greatest guess is the play that we like probably the most for this struggle or the place probably the most worth lies, and is the place we’d put a few of our bankroll behind.

As a large favourite at wherever between -1,000 and -1,250, it’s not precisely a shock to say that Chimaev ought to simply win. These odds are nonetheless a bit out of whack when you think about that Chimaev was clearly overrated as -500 chalk in opposition to Burns. In the meantime, Diaz was a tad underrated at +410 in opposition to Edwards and managed to go the space in opposition to the present champ — and even took the fifth spherical.

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Nonetheless, this can be a dangerous matchup for loads of causes past the alternative profession trajectories of each fighters. Even in his prime (which was a very long time in the past), Diaz had weak takedown protection and will get outmuscled by larger fighters. Chimaev is a monster at welterweight and his offensive wrestling and prime management are among the finest within the enterprise.

Count on “Borz” to ship Diaz out on his defend in what is going to possible be the final UFC struggle of his profession.

Prediction: Chimaev (-1,000 at bet365)

Diaz is as robust as they arrive and has been completed simply twice in 26 UFC fights (as soon as by physician stoppage after quarter-hour). That mentioned, he has taken a ton of harm in his profession and it doesn’t take many strikes for that scar tissue to tear open.

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Certain he managed to go the space in his final struggle, however let’s be sincere, Edwards isn’t precisely recognized for his energy no matter his latest KO win in opposition to Kamaru Usman.

Alternatively, Chimaev is brutally sturdy with loads of energy in his arms, and as soon as he takes down foes, he doesn’t give them any room to defensively grapple.

I anticipate “Borz” to rapidly take down Diaz after which pound on him till the ref waves off the struggle.

Choose: Chimaev by KO/TKO (-105 at FanDuel)

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