MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom breaks down the UFC’s high bouts. In the present day, we take a look at the principle card for UFC 277.
UFC 277 takes place Saturday at American Airways Middle in Dallas. The principle card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ABC/ESPN and early prelims on ESPN+.
Final occasion’s outcomes: 3-3
General picks for UFC major playing cards in 2022: 73-43-1
Welcome to MMAJunkie’s Fast Picks and Prognostications, the place I’ll be giving transient, fight-day breakdowns for UFC major playing cards.
With that in thoughts, I hope these write-ups don’t come off as curt or dismissive, as my objective right here is to supply fast picks and evaluation in a digestible format. All odds listed are supplied by Tipico Sportsbook.
In the event you’d like extra detailed evaluation from me, then be happy to take a look at my weekly present, The Protect Ya’ Neck Podcast.
So, with out additional ado…
Magomed Ankalaev (-600) vs. Anthony Smith (+400)
Though I don’t disagree with Ankalaev being the designated favourite, I do really feel that this line is a bit too vast and disrespectful to the probabilities of Smith. The American is a harmful striker from a number of ranges and has a sneaky submission prowess that might pay dividends down the stretch.
I consider that Smith will make this combat way more aggressive than the betting unfold signifies, however I additionally suspect that’ll solely deliver out one of the best in Ankalaev – who possible takes this one on the scorecards.
Alexandre Pantoja (-200) vs. Alex Perez (+150)
Though Pantoja deserves distinction as each the favourite and the primary contender for the title, I believe that Perez might quietly be a troublesome matchup for him. Perez has been snakebit from circumstance as of late, however the American is an elite 125-pound fighter (regardless of not at all times getting the love as one).
I’m such a fan of Pantoja that this will likely very nicely be the primary time I’m choosing towards him,
Derrick Lewis (+120) vs. Sergei Pavlovich (-155)
Regardless of nailing my predictions on a good slew of Lewis current fights, “The Black Beast” can admittedly be one of many harder folks to learn on this sport. In his final combat, for instance, Lewis was capable of pull out a plethora of takedown strategies that many thought wasn’t doable at this stage of his profession given his lengthy historical past of again accidents.
That mentioned, I’m undecided that Lewis is artful sufficient to take down his Russian counterpart, as I see Pavlovich using his superior wrestling and boxing to clip the American off of the breaks and end him alongside the fence by the tip of the primary spherical.
Brandon Moreno (-220) vs. Kai Kara-France (+170)
I picked Moreno the primary time round for his superior cardio and skill to regulate, because the Mexican fighter demonstrated stable counters when extending exchanges. Kara-France has some potential profitable situations that I lay out in my in-depth breakdown, however I ended up siding with Moreno once more for the aforementioned causes above.
Regardless of formally choosing Moreno to win by choice, I nonetheless suppose that the previous champ can rating a submission down the stretch if he pushes a heavy grappling agenda.
Julianna Pena (+210) vs. Amanda Nunes (-280)
There are many potential changes that I state in my in-depth breakdown, however this bout might come all the way down to who these two are at their core.
Nunes is clearly the extra technically expert and achieved fighter, however Pena’s sturdiness and blind self-belief could also be sufficient to show that she is, in actual fact, stylistic kryptonite to an individual with potential pacing demons. For that purpose, I’ll facet with Pena to pressure a stoppage by way of strikes that harken again to Cat Zingano’s memorable win over Nunes again at UFC 178.
Gannett might earn income from Tipico for viewers referrals to betting providers. Tipico has no affect over nor are any such revenues in any approach depending on or linked to the newsrooms or information protection. See Tipico.com for Phrases and Situations. 21+ solely. Playing downside? Name 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).