Friday, November 11, 2022

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Picks, Odds, and Predictions for UFC Vegas 59


This text is a part of our UFC Picks collection.

The UFC returns to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, August 9. In the principle occasion, Thiago Santos takes on Jamahal Hill.

Under I am going to share my favourite play, an underdog decide, a prop and a two-fighter parlay on. All odds are through the DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of the submit date of this text.

Weight Class: Ladies’s bantamweight

Stephanie Egger (7-2) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (8-2-1)

The very first battle of the night time will likely be my first guess, as I like Stephanie Egger to get the win as a slight favourite.

Egger has very strong wrestling and jiu-jitsu, and whereas Silva can also be recognized for her grappling, she has been hit-or-miss all through her UFC profession. She additionally gasses in fights, so her cardio is an enormous concern, whereas Egger has proven she will be able to battle three rounds. I additionally assume Egger is the higher wrestler and might use her throws to get on prime.

Silva does throw extra quantity however can also be there to be hit, as her placing protection has struggled over her previous few fights. Egger, in the meantime, averages 2.87 takedowns per quarter-hour, and Silva solely has a takedown protection of 69 p.c. Finally, the grappling and wrestling of Egger are why I like her right here.

UFC Vegas 59 Guess: Stephanie Egger (-120)

Weight Class: Ladies’s flyweight

Brogan Walker (7-2) vs. Juliana Miller (2-1)

Within the TUF 30 flyweight ultimate, I am taking Brogan Walker to win as a slight underdog right here. 

Walker has extra expertise, and I feel that will likely be an enormous profit to her, as her two losses got here to Pearl Gonzalez and Erin Blanchfield. She additionally beat Miranda Maverick in Invicta FC.

Miller, in the meantime, is a really strong grappler and has a bizarre placing model, however Walker looks as if she could have adequate takedown protection to maintain it standing and piece up Miller to probably win a choice. 

UFC Vegas 59 Guess: Brogan Walker (+100)

Weight Class: Gentle heavyweight

Jamahal Hill (10-1) vs. Thiago Santos (22-10)

For my prop, I am taking Jamahal Hill to win by knockout, as despite the fact that Thiago Santos is difficult to KO, Hill is particular and has an insane quantity of energy. I am relying on it to indicate up right here.

In Hill’s UFC profession, he knocked out Johnny Walker in 2:55, knocked out Jimmy Crute in 0:48 and completed out Ovince Saint Preux within the second spherical. Santos is sturdy, however he has been dropped and rocked in latest fights, as his sturdiness appears to be going.

Hill lands an insane 7.06 important strikes per minute, whereas Santos absorbs 2.37. I anticipate Hill’s placing quantity to be an enormous difference-maker. The up-and-comer is also tremendous quick and can ultimately catch Santos to get the KO.

UFC Vegas 59 Guess: Jamahal Hill by KO/TKO/DQ (-150)

Weight Class: Heavyweight

Zac Pauga (5-0) vs. Mohammed Usman (7-2)
Sergey Spivac (14-3) vs. Augusto Sakai (15-4-1)

In my parlay, I am taking two heavyweights, as I like Zac Pauga to stay undefeated and turn out to be the latest Final Fighter, whereas I additionally like Sergey Spivac to beat Augusto Sakai.

Pauga is a lightweight heavyweight, however he nonetheless is a strong prospect, as he has some first rate energy and is an efficient wrestler. He additionally has nice cardio, which would be the key right here, as Usman has struggled to go three rounds. He gassed out badly in his final professional battle – earlier than TUF – as he suffered a second-round submission loss to Brandon Sayles within the PFL, which was a set-up battle for him.

Pauga ought to have the ability to piece up Usman on the ft and blend within the takedowns and actually put on on Usman to tire him out and both win a choice or get a late stoppage.

On the opposite leg, I am taking Sergey Spivac to get previous Augusto Sakai, who I’ve by no means been excessive on.

Sakai is on a three-fight shedding skid and has been knocked out by Tai Tuivasa, Jair Rozenstruik, and Alistair Overeem, displaying his chin has began to go. Though Spivac would not have a ton of KO energy, he’s extra of a grinder. He likes to take guys down and search for the ground-and-pound TKO, which I anticipate to occur right here.

UFC Vegas 59 Guess: Zac Pauga & Sergey Spivac (-104)

 

UFC Vegas 59 Finest Bets:

Here’s a recap of my finest UFC picks for this weekend’s UFC Vegas 59 occasion:

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